Cal St. Fullerton
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
825  Emily Taylor JR 21:21
1,282  Ana Valdovinos JR 21:50
1,627  Tejera Dial SR 22:11
1,910  Arianna Fuentes SO 22:29
1,956  Tijerra Lynch SR 22:31
2,239  Katie Bathgate SR 22:49
2,295  Pamela Pelayo SO 22:53
2,375  Celinda Manzo SR 22:58
2,393  Kim Melechinsky JR 22:59
2,868  Lauren Carr FR 23:43
3,061  Michelle Botello SO 24:03
3,073  Abby Buckhoff SO 24:05
3,074  Amanda Crissinger SO 24:05
National Rank #210 of 341
West Region Rank #30 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Taylor Ana Valdovinos Tejera Dial Arianna Fuentes Tijerra Lynch Katie Bathgate Pamela Pelayo Celinda Manzo Kim Melechinsky Lauren Carr Michelle Botello
CSU San Bernardino 09/27 1469 23:45 24:48 24:02
Rim Rock Farm Collegiate Classic 10/04 1241 21:16 21:56 22:35 22:07 22:18 22:47 22:54 23:10
UC Riverside Highlander 10/18 1243 21:25 21:58 22:14 22:12 22:30 22:38 23:03 22:52 22:50 23:51 23:45
CS Fullerton Titan 10/24 23:14 24:18
Big West Championships 11/01 1249 21:43 21:50 21:33 22:48 22:21 23:12 22:52 23:18 23:00
West Region Championships 11/14 1237 21:03 21:32 22:11 23:08 23:36 22:26





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 29.7 859 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.1 6.8 12.5 19.4 24.3 16.6



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Taylor 112.7
Ana Valdovinos 156.1
Tejera Dial 183.7
Arianna Fuentes 203.4
Tijerra Lynch 205.7
Katie Bathgate 223.3
Pamela Pelayo 226.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 0.1% 0.1 23
24 0.4% 0.4 24
25 1.0% 1.0 25
26 3.1% 3.1 26
27 6.8% 6.8 27
28 12.5% 12.5 28
29 19.4% 19.4 29
30 24.3% 24.3 30
31 16.6% 16.6 31
32 8.4% 8.4 32
33 3.9% 3.9 33
34 1.9% 1.9 34
35 1.2% 1.2 35
36 0.2% 0.2 36
37 0.1% 0.1 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0